Arnold Palmer Invitational 2024: Odds, prediction, worth picks

The PGA Tour continues its Florida Swing with a bang this week as gamers will descend upon Bay Hill Membership & Lodge for the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

This would be the fourth Signature Occasion of the PGA Tour season, bringing with it the elevated $20,000,000 purse and extra FedEx Cup factors.

Granted, that is a kind of tournaments that doesn’t want incentive to attract the most effective fields of the season.

Lots of the world’s prime gamers together with Scottie Scheffler, Viktor Hovland, Jordan Spieth and Rory McIlroy will tee it up looking for one other win.

So, let’s get to the Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, predictions and make a decide.

Arnold Palmer Invitational odds

The sector at Arnie’s Place is about as stacked as you may get. Listed here are the present odds, per DraftKings:

• Scottie Scheffler +650
• Rory McIlroy +850
• Viktor Hovland +1600
• Xander Schauffele +1800
• Patrick Cantlay +1800
• Ludvig Aberg +2000
• Collin Morikawa +2200
• Tommy Fleetwood +2500
• Jordan Spieth +2500
• Sam Burns +2800
• Max Homa +2800
• Cameron Younger +2800
• Justin Thomas +2800
• Matt Fitzpatrick +3000

As you may see, it’s a who’s who of the PGA Tour. That makes choosing a winner a troublesome endeavor. Nevertheless, there are some keys to be checked out.

Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions

Bay Hill Membership & Lodge is definitely one of the troublesome programs on the PGA Tour yearly. After there have been modifications made across the greens 5 years in the past, this course has ranked prime 5 most troublesome every season by way of scoring.

However what does that imply?

Properly, let’s break it down.

Rory McIlroy suits the course to supply worth, however to not win

The course will play simply over 7,400 yards. That’s fairly the monitor and can clearly give gamers who’re lengthy off the tee considerably of a bonus.

Nevertheless, the tough beside the golf green is, in some spots, three inches thick. That locations a premium not simply on driving it far, however driving it precisely.

Everybody is aware of that McIlroy is a bomber off the tee. However to this point this 12 months, he has additionally been lethal correct, rating 14th on tour at over 68% of fairways hit.

I don’t suppose his brief recreation will likely be robust sufficient to hold him to a win. In spite of everything, Bay Hill is infamous for its wild inexperienced complexes and Rory ranks 132nd in putts per spherical this 12 months.

However he ought to have the ability to place himself nicely sufficient off the tee that he will likely be in rivalry into the weekend.

For that cause, I like McIlroy and his -110 odds of a Prime-10 end. You get even cash minus the juice on a monitor he has carried out very nicely at traditionally.

Cameron Younger primed for a breakout efficiency

One other actually attention-grabbing wager is Cameron Younger to complete Prime-5. You’ll get +500 for a participant whose recreation seems to be in prime kind proper now.

Younger completed T4 on the Cognizant Traditional, T16 on the Genesis Invitational and T8 on the Phoenix Open his final three tournaments.

This course has been the third most predictive based mostly on previous performances on tour, per the New York Occasions.

Properly, Younger has completed inside the highest 13 every of the 2 occasions he has performed right here earlier than.

This course exams each side of your recreation. If there’s a obvious weak point, Bay Hill will discover it. But, Younger is center of the pack or higher in practically each statistical class this 12 months.

To get 5-to-1 odds that he finishes Prime-5 right here, I like that wager.

Arnold Palmer Invitational lengthy shot

If you’re in search of some actually lengthy odds, look no additional than Min Woo Lee.

He’s fairly clearly a budding star on tour and presents +4000 odds to win the event

Contemplating the entire lengthy photographs which have received this 12 months, that’s a strong value for somebody as gifted as Lee.

It’s not a matter of if he breaks out, however when.

Lee completed his 2023 robust, gathering three Prime-10s in his ultimate 5 begins. He then completed T2 final week on the Cognizant.

Possibly that is his time to shine, and put Crew USA’s Presidents Cup crew on discover.

Arnold Palmer Invitational decide

Talking of breakout stars, I’m going to decide Ludvig Aberg to win at Arnie’s Place.

Aberg is each lengthy off the tee and correct. His brief recreation has vastly improved in such a brief period of time and the 24-year-old has proven a propensity for taking part in huge in huge moments.

Simply ask Crew USA’s Ryder Cup crew who he helped emphatically embarrass.

He completed his 2023 season on hearth, gathering three Prime-5s and 5 straight Prime-15s to shut out the 12 months. That features a win on the RSM Traditional, one other course within the Southeast U.S. that makes use of Bermuda grass.

He has continued that momentum into this 12 months and practically received once more at Pebble Seashore.

Aberg is presently going off at +2000. You’re telling me that I get 20-to-1 odds that this child’s ascent continues at a spot recognized for making historical past. Signal me up.

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Kendall Capps is the Senior Editor of SB Nation’s Enjoying By means of. For extra golf protection, observe us @_PlayingThrough on all main social media platforms.